Isolated storm chances continue into the weekend
We just went through not only the wettest month of May on record here in Central Texas, but we also just lived through the wettest month EVER! Over 15 inches of rain fell at the Waco Regional Airport throughout the 31 days of the month. The last time we had that much rain in a single month was back in October of 2015! While the forecast doesn’t completely dry out for the upcoming weekend, the majority of Central Texas will see the rain come to a close… But as rain chances go away, our temperatures begin to warm back up, but should stay close to normal (the low 90s) as we head into next work week. As far as the forecast goes for this weekend, morning lows will start in the upper 60s to low 70s Saturday morning and low to mid 70s Sunday morning. Mornings this weekend will also start out with clouds, but as the sun comes out and warms us up, cloud cover should be clearing out some for the afternoon. Highs Saturday look to be in the mid to upper 80s and possibly a degree or two warmer for Sunday, with some of our western areas reaching into the low 90s. Again, for most this weekend, there will be no rain to ruin any outdoor plans, but the forecast is not 100% rain-free for Central Texas, so you’ll want to still make sure you’re staying weather aware as if storms develop, they could become strong to severe and produce hail and gusty winds.
While the weather will be much quieter this weekend than what we dealt with throughout the past few weeks, we still can’t shake this active weather pattern that we’ve been in. Another complex of showers and storms is forecast to form out in the Texas Panhandle Friday night. That activity looks tol dive southeast across the state overnight. Right now, the better chance for rain Saturday morning will mainly stay to our north, especially near and north of I-20, but some of that activity could try to move into Central Texas for the morning hours Saturday. Leftover boundaries from that round of morning activity could lead to a few storms developing across Central Texas during the afternoon and early evening hours as we’ll have plenty of fuel (warmth and humidity) for storms to develop. IF storms develop Saturday afternoon/evening, a stray strong to severe storm cannot be ruled out… But again, coverage of storms will be less than what we’ve seen recently, so not everyone will see rain, but those that do could have any outdoor activities get interrupted. The same weather set up could be possible heading into Sunday. Another complex of showers and storms could form out west and try to move in Sunday morning. With warmth and humidity in place, an isolated storm or two could pop up for the afternoon and evening hours.
Near-normal temperatures and persistent high humidity will be on the comeback throughout next week. Right now, Monday through next weekend will feature morning lows around the low to mid 70s with afternoon highs in the low 90s… But once you add the humidity, feels-like temperatures will be closer to 100° throughout the week. A building ridge of high pressure will be building across northern Mexico and far south Texas throughout the week. Right now, it looks like we won’t be far enough under the ridge to see soaring temperatures like we typically see in the summer months, however we may be just far enough under the ridge for most of the rain chances to shut down… But with all the heat and humidity in place, we cannot rule out an isolated late day pop up shower or storm throughout the work week. We could see a very weak cold front approach towards the end of the work week that may increase rain chances slightly and turn our temperatures down by a degree or two.
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