Isolated storm chances continue into the new week

Thankfully it was a quiet start to the month of June here in Central Texas! June 1st marks the start to the Atlantic Hurricane Season and the start of Meteorological Summer! The Astronomical start to Summer is in 19 days on June 20th! Outside of a few pop up thundershowers today, the weather remained mostly dry and quiet across Central Texas… But as our rain chances decreased, the temperatures have increased by between 5 to 10-degrees over the past 24 hours. While the forecast remains quiet for most in Central Texas for the rest of the weekend, we’re still not completely free of storm chances just yet. Over the past week we’ve been stuck in a certain weather pattern that allows storm systems that develop out to our west and northwest to travel east and southeast into Central Texas. Right now, we’re still stuck in that weather pattern, but models are starting to pick up on some changes to the upper-levels of our atmosphere… That means we are starting to see signs that we could enter a much quieter, but warmer weather pattern late in the upcoming week, but until we get there, there’s still the opportunity for some storms to either move in or develop in Central Texas.

Your Sunday morning will start out in the low to mid 70s with cloudy skies outside. There could also be some patchy fog with all of the moisture in the air, so plan accordingly if you’re out and about early in the morning. We will be watching a complex of thunderstorms that develop out west again overnight. Some of that activity could move into our western areas in the morning, but right now, it looks like most of that activity will fade before it moves in. The sun is forecast to come back out throughout the day. For the afternoon, warm temperatures and high humidity will make for another hot and steamy day. Highs look to be in the mid 80s to low 90s, BUT, with the humidity, feels-like temperatures will be in the mid 90s to low 100s… And with all the heat in place, there may be enough instability to get isolated storms popping up for the afternoon. Right now, coverage still looks minimal and most will remain free of rain for another day, BUT if storms develop in our area, we could possibly see a stronger storm develop that could produce large hail and strong wind gusts. Make sure to stay hydrated and weather aware in case a storm pops up near you!

The forecast is starting to look like it’s drying out, but heating up for the first full work week of June! Now, although warmer temperatures are in the forecast, it is June, so we have to remember that it’s almost summer-time here in Central Texas. Right now, Monday through next weekend will feature morning lows around the mid 70s with afternoon highs in the low 90s… But once you add the high humidity, feels-like temperatures will be closer to 100° or hotter throughout the week. A ridge of high-pressure will be building in from the south. These weather patterns typically cause your temperatures to climb and your rain chances to shut off. Right now, it looks like we won’t be far enough under the ridge to see soaring temperatures like we typically see in the summer months, however we may be just far enough under the ridge for most of the rain chances to shut down… But with all the heat and humidity in place, we cannot rule out an isolated late day pop up shower or storm throughout the work week. Before the high strengthens, we could see another complex of late day storms bring some rain to Central Texas on Monday, but then after that, our forecast looks quiet for the week. Models are indicating that there could be a weak front moving in late in the week/next weekend, which could increase rain and storms chances, but it’s still too early to nail down any specifics with that storm system.

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