Warm November Weather Continues

Possibly bigger weather changes arrive next week?
Published: Nov. 11, 2024 at 1:51 PM CST
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It was a warm, but beautiful Veteran’s Day across Central Texas! Overnight the quiet weather continues and thanks to light winds and clear skies, temperatures Tuesday morning will start out in the upper 40s to around the mid 50s. You’ll likely need a light jacket heading out in the morning, but wear short sleeves under those jackets because temperatures will be climbing into the upper 70s to low 80s for the afternoon! Some of us will likely be nearly 10° warmer than normal… And that trend will roll right into Wednesday as well. While there are some weather changes in the forecast later this week, the major story of our forecast this week is the continuation of the warmer than normal temperatures and lack of rainfall. Wednesday will be very similar to Tuesday as we’ll start the day down into the low to mid 50s with high in the upper 70s to near the mid 80s in some spots. Now a “cold front” will manage to slide its way through Central Texas throughout the day Wednesday and bring a comfortable drop to our temperatures for the end of the work week. Unfortunately, the midweek front will be lacking in rainfall - The better chance for rain stays east of Central Texas, but the front will bring us a drop in our temperatures for Thursday and Friday. We’ll start out in the 40s to low 50s with highs in the low to mid 70s those days.

The relatively brief drop in temperatures behind Wednesday’s front won’t last terribly long as our next storm system will approach from the west late this weekend and into next week… Now the next storm system itself won’t actually arrive until Tuesday or Wednesday of next week, but we’ll feel its effects starting this weekend and into next week. Breezy south winds will begin to increase moisture back across Central Texas for the upcoming weekend, which will result in warmer mornings and afternoons and more cloud cover. Afternoon highs Saturday and Sunday will climb into the upper 70s and low 80s, and our morning temperatures will be noticeably higher as we start out in the upper 50s and low 60s Sunday and Monday morning. As the system approaches, we could start to see some rain return as early as Sunday, but we’ll likely have better rain chances moving in towards the start of the work week and as the system moves through Central Texas. Rain chances are around 30% Monday, 40% Tuesday, and 30% Wednesday of next week, but one of the bigger temperatures with that storm system is that it could finally bring us a more notable drop in temperatures towards the middle and end of next week. Both of our long-term forecast models are showing at least some rain heading our way next and a nice drop in our temperatures, BUT they are not agreeing on the timing of the front. This impacts which days may have the best chance for rain and also when we’re expecting the cooler air to settle in. We’ll have more to come on that over the coming days as new model data comes out… But for now, the story this week remains warm and dry with possibly some bigger weather changes moving in next week!

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