Below Average Temperatures are Moving In for the First Time This Month.

Like the 2004 Red Sox or the 2016 Cubs, we are finally ending our brutal streak! (Definitely an exaggeration). After having above average high temperatures every day in October thus far, our streak is about to come to an end. Cooler air is moving down from the north behind the cold front that moved through today and with this new airmass comes some gusty winds, very dry air, and cold mornings.

Wind gusts will be picking up for the rest of the afternoon today and will come back even stronger on Wednesday, potentially getting up to 40 MPH. These winds coupled with the cool and very dry air are going to give us some chilly mornings with a wind chill factor that will fall to the level of cold. Morning lows for your Wednesday will be in the upper 40s west of I-35 and lower 50s east of I-35, but with winds gusting to around 25 MPH, temperatures across the area will feel like the 40s with our western counties feeling like 30s!

With all that cool air our high temperatures will not get out of the 60s for a few days, ending our streak of above average highs. Winds will die down moving into Thursday so wind chill will be less of a factor but with morning lows right around 40 it will still feel really cold. Halloween looks to be a nice day with lots of sunshine and temperatures potentially breaking back into the 70s during the afternoon, but we’re tracking the chance for some rain on Saturday which could dampen the mood at the Baylor homecoming game.

In other weather news, Hurricane Melissa made landfall in Jamaica right around noon central time and tied two records in doing so: It tied the record for maximum sustained wind speed at landfall at 185 MPH and it tied the record for the lowest pressure at landfall at 892 mb. Melissa is also one of only seven Atlantic hurricanes in history to have its central low pressure fall below 900 mb.

For comparison, 185 MPH winds are equivalent to an EF4 tornado. A caveat to that is, the Enhanced Fujita (EF) scale used for tornadoes uses maximum 3-second wind gusts to determine its rating, whereas the Saffir-Simpson scale (Category) used for hurricanes uses maximum 1-minute sustained wind speeds to determine its rating. Wind gusts within Melissa likely reached above 200 MPH giving it winds equivalent to an EF5 tornado.

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