Published: May 18, 2025 at 5:02 AM CDT|Updated: May 19, 2025 at 5:04 PM CDT
Monday is a First Alert Weather Day! We could see two separate rounds of strong storms today as a strong cold front pushes through. The first round of storms arrives as early as 2 PM but is most likely after 4 PM. As the first round of storms exit shortly after 10 PM, another round of storms could form around midnight, likely losing severe characteristics by 1 AM before departing pre-dawn Tuesday.(KWTX)
Central Texans have been under threat for severe storms since late last week and we’re again under risk for big thunderstorms today. Today is another First Alert Weather Day, and thankfully will be the last day with severe storm chances for a bit.
Very large hail and strong wind gusts are the main concern
Although some of us have seen a few storms roll through over the past few days, many of us have remained severe storm free. While that’s a great thing, we’re sitting on a powder keg of moisture and instability!
Hail remains the primary severe weather concern today with the strongest storms containing very large hail, potentially over golf-ball size, in the strongest storms.(KWTX, SPC)
The primary severe storm risks again will be very large hail and strong wind gusts! On average, we’ll likely see the average hail size today around half-dollar to ping-pong ball size, but upwards of baseball size hail could be possible in the strongest storms.
Very large hail is the primary severe storm concern today, but the strongest storms will contain strong wind gusts between 60 and 70 MPH.(KWTX, SPC)
With a very powerful low pressure system moving through the Plains today, we’re expecting south winds to gust near 30 MPH outside of thunderstorms, with thunderstorm related wind gusts likely between 60 and 70 MPH.
Although the highest tornado risk will be well to our north, the tornado risks in Central Texas is slightly higher today than it has been over the recent few days.(KWTX, SPC)
The tornado chance is back again today and is actually a bit higher than it’s been recently, but the highest tornado chance will be to our north.
Storms aren’t guaranteed, but they’re nearly guaranteed to be strong (IF they form)
The incredible humidity and the continued heat is all storm fuel! The one thing we’ve been missing is a spark for those storms to get going. The difference between Friday/Saturday and today is that a strong area of low pressure will move through the Plains and give us a big boost in south winds. The stronger winds will mean a better chance at converging winds near the dry line, which could be just enough to spark those storms.
Although some storms are forming over the Hill Country and may move in west of I-35 mid-to-late morning, the best severe weather chances remain during the afternoon hours.
The dry line, which is the separation of dry and hot and air warm and humid air, will park itself west of Highway 281 and storms may form near that dry line as early as 2 PM, but we’ll most likely see storms form in our area after 4 PM.
Storms aren't guaranteed today, but a few strong storms may blossom as a cold front and dry line move toward the area. Late-afternoon and early evening pop-up strong storms are most likely after 4 PM and should depart by 11 PM, however another round of storms could blossom after 10 PM and move through until 3 AM as a cold front arrives pre-dawn Tuesday.(KWTX)
Storms aren't guaranteed today, but a few strong storms may blossom as a cold front and dry line move toward the area. Late-afternoon and early evening pop-up strong storms are most likely after 4 PM and should depart by 11 PM, however another round of storms could blossom after 10 PM and move through until 3 AM as a cold front arrives pre-dawn Tuesday.(KWTX)
Storms aren't guaranteed today, but a few strong storms may blossom as a cold front and dry line move toward the area. Late-afternoon and early evening pop-up strong storms are most likely after 4 PM and should depart by 11 PM, however another round of storms could blossom after 10 PM and move through until 3 AM as a cold front arrives pre-dawn Tuesday.(KWTX)
Storms aren't guaranteed today, but a few strong storms may blossom as a cold front and dry line move toward the area. Late-afternoon and early evening pop-up strong storms are most likely after 4 PM and should depart by 11 PM, however another round of storms could blossom after 10 PM and move through until 3 AM as a cold front arrives pre-dawn Tuesday.(KWTX)
Storms aren't guaranteed today, but a few strong storms may blossom as a cold front and dry line move toward the area. Late-afternoon and early evening pop-up strong storms are most likely after 4 PM and should depart by 11 PM, however another round of storms could blossom after 10 PM and move through until 3 AM as a cold front arrives pre-dawn Tuesday.(KWTX)
Storm chances are only near 40% today because we’re only expected a few storms and not widespread severe weather. Those isolated storms that may form west of I-35 late this afternoon will gradually push eastward and should slowly dissipate after sunset.
Storms aren't guaranteed today, but a few strong storms may blossom as a cold front and dry line move toward the area. Late-afternoon and early evening pop-up strong storms are most likely after 4 PM and should depart by 11 PM, however another round of storms could blossom after 10 PM and move through until 3 AM as a cold front arrives pre-dawn Tuesday.(KWTX)
Storms aren't guaranteed today, but a few strong storms may blossom as a cold front and dry line move toward the area. Late-afternoon and early evening pop-up strong storms are most likely after 4 PM and should depart by 11 PM, however another round of storms could blossom after 10 PM and move through until 3 AM as a cold front arrives pre-dawn Tuesday.(KWTX)
Storms aren't guaranteed today, but a few strong storms may blossom as a cold front and dry line move toward the area. Late-afternoon and early evening pop-up strong storms are most likely after 4 PM and should depart by 11 PM, however another round of storms could blossom after 10 PM and move through until 3 AM as a cold front arrives pre-dawn Tuesday.(KWTX)
Storms aren't guaranteed today, but a few strong storms may blossom as a cold front and dry line move toward the area. Late-afternoon and early evening pop-up strong storms are most likely after 4 PM and should depart by 11 PM, however another round of storms could blossom after 10 PM and move through until 3 AM as a cold front arrives pre-dawn Tuesday.(KWTX)
The afternoon storms may end before midnight, but an arriving cold front could help to spark a few more storms from roughly 10 PM to as late as 2 AM Tuesday. The southern half of the area is a bit more favored for the overnight storm chances, especially south of Highway 84, and any overnight storms will likely form across areas that do not see afternoon storms, so they’ll potentially be strong.
Any overnight storms that form should be pushed out of the area well before daybreak thanks to an arriving cold front.
Download the FREE KWTX Weather App to stay ahead of impending severe thunderstorms and impactful weather!(KWTX)
