Honing in on at least one rainy day next week
Outside of the pop-up showers we’ve seen and the rain early this month, Central Texas has largely been rain-free for the first half of September. We’re running a small rainfall deficit for the month and still need to pick up about an inch and a half of rain to reach our average. Next week may be the week we make our money! Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast next week for multiple days with potentially one day featuring upwards of an inch of rain by itself!
Before we get into the rain of next week, we’ll have another few opportunities for scattered rain both today and tomorrow! Those pop-up popcorn style showers and rumbles of thunder will return again. Rain chances today and Thursday are near 20%, mostly because of the isolated nature of the rain, but everyone in Central Texas has the chance for precipitation today and we’re hoping you see some! We’re out the door both today and tomorrow with temperatures in the upper 60s and lower 70s. Despite an increase in high cloudiness later today, afternoon temperatures will still stay above average in the low-to-mid 90s.
We’re still monitoring for an afternoon pop-up shower chance Friday, but rain chances slide down to near 10% with highs still in the lower 90s. The overall weather pattern across the country is expected to finally change this weekend. A blocking weather pattern, keeping weather features mostly stuck in place, is finally going to break and may lead to yet ANOTHER blocking pattern developing next week. Thankfully, we may not be under the heat dome of high pressure. As high pressure builds across the western United States this weekend, it’ll help to drop the jetstream into the Plains and southeastern United States. We won’t see much of a change to our weather Saturday or Sunday outside of a slight drop in afternoon highs, but it’ll set up for a bigger storm system next week.
There’s still a LOT of question marks about what will happen with next week’s storm system, but the forecast continues to trend rainier and a bit cooler! The blocking weather pattern setting up next week could help to keep an area of low pressure stuck across the Central Plains which would help to keep temperatures lower for longer and give us rain chances nearly every day next week. This is the most likely scenario right now, but the low may not get stuck. If it doesn’t, we’ll still get the rain and cooler temperatures, but it may not last as long. Right now, Tuesday is the rainiest day with potentially most of the rain impacting Tuesday’s morning commute. Rain chances are near 50% with highs dropping into the mid-80s thanks to the clouds.
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