Two cold fronts ahead, but rain may come without a front!
From yesterday to today, there’s been a bit of a shift in the forecast for Central Texas. Through Friday, the forecast is mostly unchanged with warming temperatures into the start of the weekend, but a cold front originally slated to move in Friday may not actually arrive until Saturday! Not only that, but a developing storm system could potentially bring Central Texans a decent bit of rain next Tuesday.
Today is the transition day between the chilly temperatures on Sunday and Monday and the warmer (mostly) temperatures we’ll see for the rest of the work week. Despite high temperatures climbing above average every day through the start of the weekend, we are tracking a cold front that’ll knock temperatures down briefly Wednesday night. South winds are back in the forecast today and that’ll boost morning temperatures from the low-to-mid 30s into the mid-60s late this afternoon. You might need a little bit of extra time to get going this morning as there could be patchy frost on your windshield, but there are no road issues across the area. Today’s mid-60s turns to mid-40s tomorrow morning, but we’re expecting a cold front to pass through during the day. Tomorrow’s front shifts winds to come from the north, but highs still climb into the mid-60s. The only effect from that front that we’ll see, outside of the shifting winds, is a drop in temperatures back into the mid-to-upper 30s Thursday morning.
The brief, one daypart drop in temperatures Thursday morning turns to unseasonably warm weather Friday and Saturday. We’ll kick off the day Friday in the mid-to-upper 40s and then warm into the low-to-mid 70s under mostly sunny skies. It originally looked like a cold front would swing through the area late Friday night, but that front is now set to arrive Saturday night which flips the script on the weekend forecast. We’re expecting morning low temperatures in the mid-to-upper 50s Saturday morning with highs climbing into the mid-70s under a mix of sunshine and clouds, but the arriving front drops our highs into the mid-50s Sunday with a chance for a few light sprinkles near and east of I-35.
Although the jet stream will stay far away from Central Texas for some time, forecast model data is suggesting that a storm system will develop across Texas next Tuesday. Since this potential storm system is still a week away, there will be some changes to the forecast as we lead into Tuesday. Rain isn’t guaranteed, but our rain chances are now up to 40% with highs likely in the low-to-mid 50s. Unlike the rain earlier this month, Tuesday’s rain may actually be steady and appreciable! Our most likely rainfall totals will range from between a quarter-inch of rain to potentially over two inches of rain! Whether or not the heaviest rain from this storm system falls near the coast or across I-35 is yet to be seen, but then again, the storm system isn’t locked in yet.
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